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  #1  
Old 09-04-2008, 18:54
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The Masters........

well guys.its the start of the golf season.......
who are yer pics...will the tiger dominate the majors......
i reckon tiger will win the masters ....
but 3 guys against him.....goosen,singh and this new german kid kaymher[spelling].........
ij
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  #2  
Old 09-04-2008, 20:12
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As of yesterday, Tiger's bookie odds are 7 to 5 to win. Bet 5, win 7. I think it is a bad bet. It's basically saying he (as of now) is capable of winning MORE than every other Master's tourney.
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Old 09-04-2008, 20:22
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I've laid Woods at 2.44 and backed Els at 40.0 and 6.8 to place (Top 5) and Goosen at 30.0 and 6.6 to place.

Woods is superhuman but his start odds are way too short. Even when he wins tournaments he often gets off to a poor start and his odds go way out so you can back back for a free bet.

Had a little bit on a Hole In One too at 2.72. Rare for there not to be one in these big events.

Game on :-)
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Old 09-04-2008, 23:21
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I like Justin Rose , who in the betting excluding Tiger you can get at 20/1.....

another interesting one is Nick Dougherty 12/1 to be best placed debutant...
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Old 10-04-2008, 00:07
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Well based on the facts that Tiger wins 50%+ of all tournaments he tees up in, he's won the Masters 4 previous times, he has won 7 out of his last 9 tournaments, he's got to be my bet!!!! Trying to work out which lesser or less well known player will run him close over the 4 days is the harder one for me.

Also interested in the odds for a hole in one. Only because a few years ago a couple of guys in the UK, used to drive around the country placing bets and as much money as they could on hole ino nes in professional tournaments. They said from facts they had amassed that there was never a professional tournament where someone didn't get a hole in one, they made about £250,000 in 6 months, then the entire betting industry in the UK, stopped all odds on hole in ones!!! so interesting you can still get terms, put your shirt on it, shouldn't be able to loose!!!
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Old 10-04-2008, 00:43
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They said from facts they had amassed that there was never a professional tournament where someone didn't get a hole in one, they made about £250,000 in 6 months, then the entire betting industry in the UK, stopped all odds on hole in ones!!! so interesting you can still get terms, put your shirt on it, shouldn't be able to loose!!!

See my post...I've already backed it. True odds are around 13/8 for one in professional tournaments so the Betfair odds are about right.

Those guys who made all that money about 15 years ago were going round small independent bookies who really didn't have a clue about golf betting and were giving them ridiculous odds up to 100/1 sometimes. They are a bit more clued up these days!

Stats say that a Tour player will hit a Hole in One 1 on average once every 3000 shots. So the odds of one in a tournament can be worked out like this...

4 Par 3's x 156 players before cut x 2rounds plus 4 x 70 players after the cut x 2 rounds = 1248+560 = 1808 attempts against an average of 1 in 3000.

1808/3000 = 0.602 so a 60% chance of occurring...so true odds 1.66/1...just over 13/8
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Old 10-04-2008, 07:28
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yep...how could you bet against (or for with those odds) Tiger.......I have a good feeling about Geoff Ogilvy in this one!
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Old 10-04-2008, 08:19
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Tiger Woods...... the rest are just making up the numbers....

Not enough superlatives to describe this Master in his own right....
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Old 10-04-2008, 08:27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by landofsmiles View Post
I've laid Woods at 2.44 and backed Els at 40.0 and 6.8 to place (Top 5) and Goosen at 30.0 and 6.6 to place.


l'm for the Sth Africans as well.......although Sabbatini not Els

Goosen 30/1
Sabbatini 110/1

also

Casy 120/1
Donald 60/1
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Old 10-04-2008, 08:48
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yep...how could you bet against (or for with those odds) Tiger.......I have a good feeling about Geoff Ogilvy in this one!

No Aussie has ever won a Master`s.Would be a huge achievement.

Tiger`s odds a little too short IMO,he hasn`t won a Masters since 2005.

Anyone know Phil Mickelson`s odds?
He seems to bob up regularly here.

What about last years winner Zach Johnson?Whats his odds/chances this year?
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Old 10-04-2008, 11:06
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Zach Johnson best price with bookies is a p1ss poor 80/1.

but 149/1 on Betfair...5/1 Top 10 finish...12/1 for Top 5 finish

Mickleson 11/1 bookies...12.5/1 on Betfair

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/us-masters/win-market
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Old 10-04-2008, 13:48
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8 holes in 1 since 1983 in the masters...............i wouldnt fancy the 13-8......the par 3 are tough in augusta.........
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Old 10-04-2008, 18:23
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Been quite a move on Goosen for Top5 finish without a ball being struck. I'm on at 6.6 and he's down to 5.0. Could lay back for a free bet but I'm letting it run for a while and hope he gets off to a good start and the price comes down even more.

Scoreboard>>>

The 2008 Masters Tournament - Leaderboard
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Old 10-04-2008, 21:30
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Quote:
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l'm for the Sth Africans as well.......although Sabbatini not Els

Goosen 30/1
Sabbatini 110/1

also

Casy 120/1
Donald 60/1

well, Sabatinni won the Par 3 yesterday
no winner of Par 3 ever has won the tourney

just a stupid stat thats out there
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Old 11-04-2008, 03:10
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Quote:
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See my post...I've already backed it. True odds are around 13/8 for one in professional tournaments so the Betfair odds are about right.

Those guys who made all that money about 15 years ago were going round small independent bookies who really didn't have a clue about golf betting and were giving them ridiculous odds up to 100/1 sometimes. They are a bit more clued up these days!

Stats say that a Tour player will hit a Hole in One 1 on average once every 3000 shots. So the odds of one in a tournament can be worked out like this...

4 Par 3's x 156 players before cut x 2rounds plus 4 x 70 players after the cut x 2 rounds = 1248+560 = 1808 attempts against an average of 1 in 3000.

1808/3000 = 0.602 so a 60% chance of occurring...so true odds 1.66/1...just over 13/8


Poulter hole in one on the 16th .....!
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Old 11-04-2008, 09:49
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Yep already.

Thanks IAN POULTER

Woods odds out to 2.9 as expected too and Goosens' shortened.
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Old 11-04-2008, 10:35
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I reckon that's the only time to back Tiger....once he's had an ordinary first round or even better combined first + second rounds....he gets his nose back in front at the finish more than a champion stayer (race horse)
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Old 11-04-2008, 13:40
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8 holes in 1 since 1983 in the masters...............i wouldnt fancy the 13-8......the par 3 are tough in augusta.........

FCUK ME..........
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Old 11-04-2008, 13:41
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LATEST BETTING....
RTÉ Aertel
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Old 11-04-2008, 15:10
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Those are odds without Woods.

Right now if you have an account with SportingBet and can get a decent amount on you can arb Goosen for some free money....20/1 Sportingbet, lay back on Betfair at 18.5/1.
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Old 13-04-2008, 01:35
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Just backed Woods at 5.0 so I'll win money whether he wins or loses the tournament...he's been as high as 7.6...and laid Goosen back on the place market at 3.0 so got a free bet on him now.

Got no coverage on my tv but can watch on StarSports on TVU online.
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Old 13-04-2008, 05:56
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Getting a decent run for my money with Casey at 120/1....he headed the Leader Board for a short time late this afternoon.
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Old 13-04-2008, 10:47
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Getting a decent run for my money with Casey at 120/1....he headed the Leader Board for a short time late this afternoon.

Nice one...if you're on at 120/1 surely you've laid back now at least for a free bet or to guarantee a profit. He's 10/1 on Betfair now...been as low as 4.3/1 when he led.

It doesn't matter who wins to me now as I'm green on all players but I'd make the most if Goosen or Poulter won...not likely from 9 back though.
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Old 13-04-2008, 16:41
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Immelman Looks Good..........
But Tiger Is Prowling.......
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Old 13-04-2008, 17:05
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